Mathematics 11–12 · Year 12

Where does the spinner stop: a continuous uniform random variable

Random variables: Continuous random variables (Mathematics Advanced, Year 12)

Practical, model not builtLow risk

This site has no interactive model of its own. Where a step or a material names a Concept Studio model, simulation or tool, it has not been built; an external simulation a step names (for example PhET) is not part of this site.

The idea

The angle at which a fair spinner stops can take any value from 0 to 360 degrees, so probabilities come from areas under a flat density function rather than from counting outcomes.

What you need

  • A spinner: a card disc printed with a 0 to 360 degree protractor scale and a pointer on a pin (or a bottle spinning on a marked disc)
  • A tally sheet and a spreadsheet

How to do it

  1. Spin 40 times and record the stopping angle to the nearest degree.
  2. Draw a histogram with 45 degree bins and a cumulative relative frequency graph.
  3. Write the density f(x) = 1/360 for 0 <= x < 360 and the distribution function F(x) = x/360.
  4. Compute P(X < 90), P(100 < X < 160) and the expected value and variance, and compare with the data.
  5. Explain why P(X = 90) = 0 even though the pointer can stop at 90 degrees.

What you should see

P(X < 90) = 0.25, P(100 < X < 160) = 60/360 = 0.167, E(X) = 180 degrees, Var(X) = 360^2 / 12 = 10 800 and the standard deviation is 103.9 degrees. Of 40 spins about 10 should fall in each quarter, with a binomial standard deviation of 2.7 spins, and the cumulative graph should lie close to the straight line F(x) = x/360. The learner knows it worked when the cumulative relative frequency hugs that straight line and the sample mean is near 180 degrees.

What changes

What you change
the spin
What you measure
stopping angle
What you keep the same
  • same spinner
  • a firm spin of at least one full turn
  • angle read from directly above

Common misconceptions

Each of these ideas is wrong, and the activity is a chance to test it.

  • A probability density of 1/360 means each angle has probability 1/360; each exact angle has probability 0 and only intervals carry probability.
  • The density can never exceed 1; for a variable spread over [0, 0.5] the uniform density is 2.

Safety card

Low riskLearners carry it out

Hazards

  • the pin point

Controls

  • cover the pin with a cork or use a pencil point

Note

No chemicals and no heat are used, so the NSW Department of Education Chemical Safety in Schools package does not apply; ordinary classroom supervision.

Curriculum references

The NSW syllabus outcomes and Australian Curriculum v9 codes this activity supports. They are references, not a verified or complete curriculum alignment.

  • Mathematics Advanced 11–12 Syllabus (2024), Year 12 focus area Random variables; Year 11 taught from Term 1 2026, Year 12 from Term 4 2026, first HSC examination 2027 (the 2017 syllabus is still taught to Year 12 until then); page read 2026-09-22MAV-12-07
  • Australian Curriculum v9No Australian Curriculum v9 code is listed.

Sources

The pages the author read to write this activity.

  1. curriculum.nsw.edu.au/learning-areas/mathematics/mathematics-advanced-11-12-2024/content/year-12/fa4579cc54
  2. amsi.org.au/ESA_Senior_Years/SeniorTopic4/4e/4e_1intro.html

All Concept Studio activities