Mathematics 11–12 · Year 12
Drop height against bounce height: scatterplot, correlation and least-squares line
Bivariate data analysis: Scatter plots and lines of best fit (Mathematics Standard 2, Year 12; Mathematics Standard 1, Year 12 for the scatter plot, a line of best fit by eye or with digital tools, and interpolation and extrapolation only, because Pearson's r and the least-squares line are Standard 2 content)
This site has no interactive model of its own. Where a step or a material names a Concept Studio model, simulation or tool, it has not been built; an external simulation a step names (for example PhET) is not part of this site.
The idea
Two measured variables with a physical link give a scatterplot whose strength and direction a correlation coefficient measures and whose trend a least-squares line predicts, within the measured range only.
What you need
- A bouncy ball, a 2 m tape fixed to a wall, a phone filming at 60 frames per second
- A scientific calculator with linear regression, or a spreadsheet
How to do it
- Drop the ball from rest at 0.40, 0.60, 0.80, 1.00, 1.20, 1.40 and 1.60 m; read the first bounce height from the video three times at each height and keep the mean.
- Plot bounce height (dependent) against drop height (independent) and describe the form, direction and strength.
- Standard 2: compute Pearson's r and the least-squares line y = a + b x on the calculator and interpret b as the fraction of height returned. Standard 1: draw a line of best fit by eye or with digital tools and describe the strength of the association as strong, moderate or weak.
- Predict the bounce from 1.10 m (interpolation) and from 5 m (extrapolation) and explain which prediction is trustworthy.
What you should see
If each bounce returns the same fraction of the drop height, the points lie on a line through the origin, so r is close to 1, the intercept a is close to 0 and the gradient b equals the height ratio r from the bouncing-ball entry. For the model's test data (0.4, 0.26), (0.8, 0.51), (1.2, 0.77), (1.6, 1.02) the line is y = 0.005 + 0.635 x with r = 0.99997, predicting 0.704 m from 1.10 m. A 5 m prediction extrapolates beyond the data, where air resistance and ball deformation can change the ratio. The learner knows it worked when r exceeds 0.95 (Standard 1: when the points lie close to the line drawn by eye) and a 1.10 m check drop lands close to the interpolated value.
What changes
- What you change
- drop height
- What you measure
- first bounce height
- What you keep the same
- ball
- floor surface
- release from rest
- peak read from the same camera position
Common misconceptions
Each of these ideas is wrong, and the activity is a chance to test it.
- A high r proves that drop height causes the bounce height; here physics supplies the cause, r only measures the linear association.
- The line can be used for any drop height; predictions outside 0.4 to 1.6 m are extrapolations.
Safety card
Hazards
- standing on a chair to reach 1.6 m
Controls
- use a step stool with a spotter
Note
No chemicals and no heat are used, so the NSW Department of Education Chemical Safety in Schools package does not apply; ordinary classroom supervision.
Curriculum references
The NSW syllabus outcomes and Australian Curriculum v9 codes this activity supports. They are references, not a verified or complete curriculum alignment.
- Mathematics Standard 11–12 Syllabus (2024), Year 12 Standard 1 focus area Bivariate data analysis; Year 11 taught from Term 1 2026, Year 12 from Term 4 2026, first HSC examination 2027 (the 2017 syllabus is still taught to Year 12 until then); page read 2026-09-22MST-12-S1-06
- Mathematics Standard 11–12 Syllabus (2024), Year 12 Standard 2 focus area Bivariate data analysis; Year 11 taught from Term 1 2026, Year 12 from Term 4 2026, first HSC examination 2027 (the 2017 syllabus is still taught to Year 12 until then); page read 2026-09-22MST-12-S2-08
- Australian Curriculum v9No Australian Curriculum v9 code is listed.
Sources
The pages the author read to write this activity.
- curriculum.nsw.edu.au/learning-areas/mathematics/mathematics-standard-11-12-2024/content/year-12-tba1/faf283a852
- curriculum.nsw.edu.au/learning-areas/mathematics/mathematics-standard-11-12-2024/content/year-12-tba2/fadb5e412c
- phyphox.org/experiment/inelastic-collision
- opensourcephysics.github.io/tracker-website