Investigating Science 11–12 · Year 12
Control groups and blinding: a double-blind taste test with a binomial test
Module 7: Fact or Fallacy?
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The idea
Blinding, random order and a probability calculation separate a real ability to tell two products apart from chance and from expectation.
Safety card
Hazards
- food tasting in a laboratory is prohibited
- allergies
- shared cups
Controls
- run the test in a food-safe room with new cups
- check allergies beforehand and allow opting out
- record results against codes, not names
Note
No chemicals or heat. Food tasting follows school food-safety procedures outside the laboratory; participants give informed consent. Record the activity in RiskAssess.
What you need
- chilled tap water and a bottled still water at the same temperature (or two brands of one plain food), in identical cups
- a third person to code the cups, a coin or random number table for order, answer slips
- consent forms, allergy check, a food-safe classroom (not a science laboratory)
How to do it
- State the claim to test (for example, “people can tell bottled from tap water”) and the null hypothesis.
- A third person codes pairs of cups; the server does not know the code (double blind) and each taster’s order is set by coin toss.
- Each of 20 tasters names the bottled water; record correct or incorrect.
- Run a second, unblinded round with labelled cups and record the answers.
- Calculate the probability of getting at least as many correct by chance and decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.
- Discuss what placebo effects, expectation and sample size contribute, with reference to clinical trials.
What you should see
Under the null hypothesis each taster is right with probability ½. With 20 tasters, 15 or more correct has probability 0.021 (one-tailed) while 14 or more has 0.058, so 15 is the smallest count that meets p < 0.05. The unblinded round tests whether seeing the label changes the answers, which is the reason trials blind both participants and those running them.
What changes
- What you change
- blinded or unblinded presentation
- What you measure
- number of correct identifications out of 20
- What you keep the same
- same temperature and volume
- identical cups
- random order
- same question to every taster
Common misconceptions
Each of these ideas is wrong, and the activity is a chance to test it.
- If most people pick correctly the claim is proven.
- Blinding the tasters is enough; the server’s knowledge does not matter.
- A small panel that agrees is convincing.
Curriculum references
The NSW syllabus outcomes and Australian Curriculum v9 codes this activity supports. They are references, not a verified or complete curriculum alignment.
- Investigating Science Stage 6 Syllabus (2017), NESA; currentINS12-14INS11/12-4INS11/12-5INS11/12-6INS11/12-7
- Australian Curriculum v9No Australian Curriculum v9 code is listed.
Sources
The pages the author read to write this activity.
- www.nsw.gov.au/education-and-training/nesa/curriculum/science/investigating-science-stage-6-2017
- education.nsw.gov.au/content/dam/main-education/teaching-and-learning/curriculum/key-learning-areas/science/s-6/investigating-science/m7-fact-or-fallacy-unit-investigating-science.docx
- www.abs.gov.au/statistics/understanding-statistics/classroom-resources
- phet.colorado.edu/en/simulations/plinko-probability